What Moves Like TSCO

Tractor Supply Company Retail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden Supply · Nasdaq

The tradable tickers whose daily moves track TSCO most closely over the past year, filtered to risk comparable with TSCO's own.

Closest match

HD The Home Depot, Inc. — 0.527 correlation over the past year, and 19% calmer than TSCO.

About TSCO

Annualised volatility 34.6%
Beta vs SPY 0.32
Market correlation 0.125
Traded per day $336.7M
Rate sensitivity -0.31
Volatility sensitivity -0.12

As filed with the SEC twelve months to 2025-12-31 · balance sheet 2026-03-31

Revenue $15.52B
Operating income $1.47B
Net income $1.10B
Diluted EPS $2.06
Total assets $11.66B
Total liabilities $9.15B
Shareholders' equity $2.51B
Cash & equivalents $224.3M
Shares outstanding 525.5M
251 sessions to 2026-11-09 · TSCO volatility 34.6% annualised · $336.7M a day
Ticker 1-year correlation 3-year Volatility vs TSCO Risk What it is
HD The Home Depot, Inc.
0.527
0.509 0.81× 19% calmer Retail-Lumber & Other Building Materials Dealers
LOW Lowe's Companies, Inc.
0.519
0.498 0.87× 13% calmer Retail-Lumber & Other Building Materials Dealers
XRT State Street SPDR S&P Retail ETF
0.461
0.471 0.62× 38% calmer Fund
FND Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.
0.448
0.407 1.44× 44% choppier Retail-Lumber & Other Building Materials Dealers
ITB iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF
0.446
0.431 0.92× similar Fund
ALLE Allegion plc Ordinary Shares
0.436
0.395 0.87× 13% calmer Services-Detective, Guard & Armored Car Services
CHD Church & Dwight Company, Inc.
0.432
0.318 0.64× 36% calmer Soap, Detergents, Cleang Preparations, Perfumes, Cosmetics
AZO AutoZone, Inc.
0.430
0.397 0.88× 12% calmer Retail-Auto & Home Supply Stores
DG Dollar General Corporation
0.429
0.301 1.14× 14% choppier Retail-Variety Stores
NVR NVR, Inc.
0.429
0.394 0.86× 14% calmer Operative Builders
CLX The Clorox Company
0.420
0.327 0.95× similar Specialty Cleaning, Polishing And Sanitation Preparations
KMB Kimberly-Clark Corporation
0.420
0.327 0.73× 27% calmer Converted Paper & Paperboard Prods (No Contaners/Boxes)
ORLY O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
0.419
0.380 0.75× 25% calmer Retail-Auto & Home Supply Stores
UFPI UFP Industries, Inc.
0.418
0.405 0.94× similar Sawmills & Planting Mills, General
BLDR Builders FirstSource, Inc.
0.416
0.378 1.55× 55% choppier Retail-Lumber & Other Building Materials Dealers
SHW The Sherwin-Williams Company
0.412
0.395 0.86× 15% calmer Retail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden Supply
LKQ LKQ Corporation
0.408
0.397 1.26× 26% choppier Wholesale-Motor Vehicles & Motor Vehicle Parts & Supplies
MAS Masco Corporation
0.407
0.414 1.06× similar Heating Equip, Except Elec & Warm Air; & Plumbing Fixtures
UPBD Upbound Group, Inc.
0.407
0.337 1.33× 33% choppier Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, Nec
ATR AptarGroup, Inc.
0.406
0.368 0.73× 27% calmer Plastics Products, Nec
RPM RPM International Inc.
0.405
0.405 0.90× 10% calmer Paints, Varnishes, Lacquers, Enamels & Allied Prods
XHB State Street SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF
0.404
0.435 0.85× 15% calmer Fund
OTIS Otis Worldwide Corporation
0.403
0.365 0.67× 33% calmer Electronic & Other Electrical Equipment (No Computer Equip)
PHM PulteGroup, Inc.
0.402
0.369 1.01× similar Operative Builders
LPX Louisiana-Pacific Corporation
0.396
0.328 1.21× 21% choppier Lumber & Wood Products (No Furniture)

Showing 25 of 30 tickers that qualified. Correlation is of daily returns; 1.000 would mean moving in lockstep, 0.000 no relationship at all.

What this is for

Three questions, one number behind all of them.

How to read the two correlation columns

The one-year figure is what the relationship looks like now. The three-year figure is what it has looked like over a longer stretch. Comparing them is the point: when they agree, the relationship is structural and likely to hold. When the one-year number is far below the three-year one, something has changed — a shift in business mix, an index reconstitution, a sector that has stopped moving together — and the recent figure is the one to trust less, not more.

Correlation measures whether two things move together, not whether they move by the same amount. That is why the volatility column is there. Two tickers can correlate at 0.99 while one swings half again as hard, and swapping one for the other would quietly change how much risk you are carrying.

What was deliberately left out

Ranking purely by correlation produces answers that are mathematically perfect and practically useless. The closest matches to AAPL by raw correlation are leveraged AAPL funds at 0.999 — correct, and not replacements for anything. Four filters run before a ticker is allowed to appear:

Where all of that leaves a ticker with no close match, the page says so. A stock with no substitute is a real and useful finding, and inventing a loose one to fill the table would be worse than an empty answer.

Limits, stated up front

Where the numbers come from

Correlations are computed in-house from a daily price history and rebuilt every night. What gets published is the derived statistic — a correlation coefficient, a volatility ratio, an observation count — and nothing from which a price or return series could be reconstructed. The rest of the Markets section is on the Markets overview, including futures positioning extremes and SEC Form 4 insider transactions.