COT Positioning

Who is long and who is short in futures — commercial hedgers against large speculators, published weekly by the CFTC.

+624 contracts

ISO NEW ENG HUB OFF PEAK SWAP - NEW YORK MERCANTILE EXCHANGE — week of 2014-12-30 · +0 vs prior week

Large speculators are net long; commercials are net short at -624. Open interest 349,597.

Week Spec net Comm net Open interest
2014-12-30 624 -624 349,597
2014-12-23 624 -624 349,597
2014-12-16 624 -624 358,925
2014-12-09 624 -624 358,925
2014-12-02 624 -624 354,229
2014-11-25 1,458 -1,458 382,218
2014-11-18 1,458 -1,458 382,218
2014-11-11 1,458 -1,458 275,579
2014-11-04 1,458 -1,458 275,579
2014-10-28 2,210 -2,210 304,907
2014-10-21 2,210 -2,210 304,907
2014-10-14 2,210 -2,210 304,907
2014-10-07 2,210 -2,210 304,907
2014-09-30 4,898 -4,898 317,747
2014-09-23 4,898 -4,898 317,747
2014-09-16 4,898 -4,898 317,747
2014-09-09 4,898 -4,898 317,747
2014-09-02 4,898 -4,898 317,747
2014-08-26 7,754 -7,754 345,083
2014-08-19 7,754 -7,754 345,083
2014-08-12 7,754 -7,754 345,083
2014-08-05 7,754 -7,754 298,443
2014-07-29 10,498 -10,498 321,571
2014-07-22 10,498 -10,498 321,571
2014-07-15 10,498 -10,498 321,571
2014-07-08 10,498 -10,498 306,302

How to read a COT report

Every Friday the CFTC publishes how open interest in each futures market was divided the previous Tuesday, split into three groups:

The number people watch is speculative net — long minus short. Extremes matter more than levels: when speculators are as long as they have been in years, the marginal buyer is largely used up.

Timing, which trips people up

The report is dated Tuesday and released Friday afternoon. It is already three days stale when you read it, and it says nothing about intraweek moves. Treat it as a positioning survey, not a signal you can act on the same day.

Where this comes from

Straight from the CFTC's published archive at cftc.gov — the legacy Commitments of Traders format, which has the longest continuous history and the commercial/non-commercial split traders actually use. It is a work of the US government, free to use. This site holds 212,198 weekly rows across 764 markets since 2010.