COT Positioning

Who is long and who is short in futures — commercial hedgers against large speculators, published weekly by the CFTC.

-3,896 contracts

NYISO ZONE G DAY AHEAD PEAK MI - ICE FUTURES ENERGY DIV — week of 2017-05-09 · +470 vs prior week

Large speculators are net short; commercials are net long at 3,654. Open interest 35,329.

Week Spec net Comm net Open interest
2017-05-09 -3,896 3,654 35,329
2017-05-02 -4,366 4,150 36,389
2017-04-25 -3,417 3,346 34,842
2017-04-18 -2,767 2,671 33,884
2017-04-11 -2,667 2,536 34,053
2017-04-04 -3,140 3,125 35,757
2017-03-28 -2,635 2,503 35,103
2017-03-21 -2,545 2,413 33,852
2017-03-14 -2,625 2,493 32,960
2017-03-07 -2,525 2,398 32,425
2017-02-28 -2,880 2,717 35,944
2017-02-21 -2,699 2,536 34,959
2017-02-14 -2,605 2,442 33,954
2017-02-07 -2,585 2,420 33,464
2017-01-31 -2,843 2,657 37,247
2017-01-24 -2,608 2,420 36,354
2017-01-17 -2,434 2,276 35,000
2017-01-10 -2,462 2,304 34,932
2017-01-03 -2,670 2,244 38,196
2016-12-27 -2,489 2,293 38,256
2016-12-20 -2,929 2,713 39,135
2016-12-13 -3,396 3,195 38,693
2016-12-06 -3,446 3,255 38,082
2016-11-29 -3,654 3,421 40,333
2016-11-22 -3,369 3,129 39,930
2016-11-15 -2,874 2,650 39,385

How to read a COT report

Every Friday the CFTC publishes how open interest in each futures market was divided the previous Tuesday, split into three groups:

The number people watch is speculative net — long minus short. Extremes matter more than levels: when speculators are as long as they have been in years, the marginal buyer is largely used up.

Timing, which trips people up

The report is dated Tuesday and released Friday afternoon. It is already three days stale when you read it, and it says nothing about intraweek moves. Treat it as a positioning survey, not a signal you can act on the same day.

Where this comes from

Straight from the CFTC's published archive at cftc.gov — the legacy Commitments of Traders format, which has the longest continuous history and the commercial/non-commercial split traders actually use. It is a work of the US government, free to use. This site holds 212,198 weekly rows across 764 markets since 2010.