COT Positioning

Who is long and who is short in futures — commercial hedgers against large speculators, published weekly by the CFTC.

+6,588 contracts

GASOIL CRACK SPR SWAP - NEW YORK MERCANTILE EXCHANGE — week of 2012-10-02 · -1,096 vs prior week

Large speculators are net long; commercials are net short at -6,675. Open interest 20,634.

Week Spec net Comm net Open interest
2012-10-02 6,588 -6,675 20,634
2012-09-25 7,684 -8,095 23,992
2012-09-18 6,590 -7,001 23,632
2012-09-11 6,830 -7,121 23,752
2012-09-04 7,130 -7,421 23,385
2012-08-28 8,914 -9,106 26,429
2012-08-21 8,368 -8,778 26,463
2012-08-14 8,336 -8,746 26,356
2012-08-07 8,196 -8,606 25,139
2012-07-31 9,959 -10,353 28,802
2012-07-24 9,484 -9,887 29,323
2012-07-17 9,571 -9,974 28,581
2012-07-10 10,078 -10,390 28,523
2012-07-03 9,646 -9,919 28,847
2012-06-26 9,673 -9,880 30,689
2012-06-19 9,946 -10,178 29,617
2012-06-12 9,146 -9,340 28,850
2012-06-05 8,402 -8,498 29,863
2012-05-29 9,540 -9,250 31,597
2012-05-22 9,659 -9,429 31,504
2012-05-15 9,809 -9,339 30,745
2012-05-08 9,380 -8,910 29,454
2012-05-01 8,732 -8,046 29,510
2012-04-24 9,382 -8,764 29,246
2012-04-17 9,496 -8,938 26,171
2012-04-10 8,250 -8,088 24,318

How to read a COT report

Every Friday the CFTC publishes how open interest in each futures market was divided the previous Tuesday, split into three groups:

The number people watch is speculative net — long minus short. Extremes matter more than levels: when speculators are as long as they have been in years, the marginal buyer is largely used up.

Timing, which trips people up

The report is dated Tuesday and released Friday afternoon. It is already three days stale when you read it, and it says nothing about intraweek moves. Treat it as a positioning survey, not a signal you can act on the same day.

Where this comes from

Straight from the CFTC's published archive at cftc.gov — the legacy Commitments of Traders format, which has the longest continuous history and the commercial/non-commercial split traders actually use. It is a work of the US government, free to use. This site holds 212,198 weekly rows across 764 markets since 2010.