US Industries

Every industry the SEC classifies, ranked by how it actually behaves — what it does when rates move, how much of it is really one position, and how heavily it is sold short.

The ranking that does not exist anywhere else

Rate sensitivity is the median correlation between a company's daily return and the daily move in the 10-year Treasury yield. Building it needs that correlation for every one of 5,250 securities, which is why you will not find this table elsewhere. Energy sits at the top and homebuilders at the bottom, which is the result anyone would predict — and is the reason to trust the rest of the column.

Move most with rates Move against rates Trade as one bet Most companies Most shorted 154 industries · 5+ companies each · SEC classification
IndustryCompaniesRatesOne betBetaDays to cover
Pharmaceutical Preparations 254 -0.14 36% 1.12 7.1
Services-Prepackaged Software 136 -0.07 49% 0.90 4.0
Real Estate Investment Trusts 135 -0.23 52% 0.35 4.7
State Commercial Banks 133 -0.11 56% 0.52 5.5
Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) 95 -0.16 39% 1.50 10.6
Semiconductors & Related Devices 86 -0.12 25% 2.79 2.6
Services-Business Services, Nec 70 -0.10 14% 0.95 3.7
National Commercial Banks 68 -0.10 24% 0.61 5.1
Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas 65 +0.28 49% -0.31 4.2
Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus 56 -0.12 20% 0.88 3.4
Gold And Silver Ores 54 -0.23 19% 2.12 3.3
Finance Services 49 -0.13 38% 2.97 3.5
Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance 47 0.00 61% -0.06 4.0
Electric Services 45 -0.17 16% 0.39 4.8
Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. 43 -0.08 8% 1.34 3.3
Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation 37 -0.08 8% 0.92 3.6
Investment Advice 35 -0.17 56% 1.18 4.4
Commercial Banks, Nec 35 -0.12 21% 0.96 2.3
Retail-Eating Places 30 -0.11 44% 0.73 3.9
Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories 29 -0.21 20% 1.18 3.7
Deep Sea Foreign Transportation Of Freight 29 -0.01 79% 0.57 2.5
Metal Mining 28 -0.20 18% 2.30 3.5
Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design 24 -0.10 5% 1.06 5.8
Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies 22 -0.08 13% 2.87 4.2
Hotels & Motels 21 -0.15 37% 0.63 5.0
Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies 21 -0.06 14% 1.26 3.5
Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies 20 -0.16 8% 1.27 4.9
Telephone Communications (No Radiotelephone) 20 -0.16 6% 0.56 3.4
Real Estate 18 -0.20 8% 0.69 5.9
Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations 17 -0.19 26% 0.69 6.1
Natural Gas Transmission 17 +0.11 19% -0.01 5.0
Radio & TV Broadcasting & Communications Equipment 17 -0.11 7% 2.04 3.2
Petroleum Refining 17 +0.26 19% -0.27 3.3
Laboratory Analytical Instruments 16 -0.24 30% 1.04 4.7
Mining & Quarrying Of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) 16 -0.15 3% 1.44 5.6
Electric & Other Services Combined 16 -0.18 31% -0.10 4.9
Life Insurance 16 -0.10 22% 0.70 4.3
Industrial Organic Chemicals 15 -0.02 6% 0.66 3.8
Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses 15 -0.16 3% 1.35 3.3
Services-Management Consulting Services 15 -0.03 9% 0.34 4.2

Top 40 of 154 industries with five or more listed members. Ranked views require eight, because a median over five companies is not a median and every extreme would otherwise be a four-company classification.

All industries154 with five or more listed companies

Reading the rates column

It is the median correlation, across the industry, between a company's daily return and the daily change in the 10-year Treasury yield. Positive means the industry tends to rise on days when yields rise.

The extremes are the sanity check. Energy producers sit at the top: they move with inflation, and so do yields. Homebuilders sit at the bottom, more negative than anything else, because their customers borrow — a mortgage rate is the product. Airlines, mortgage lenders and other borrowers follow them. None of that was put in by hand; it falls out of the correlation, which is the reason to believe the middle of the table too.

It is a correlation over one year of daily returns, not a forecast and not a duration. A number near zero means the industry did not move with rates this year, which is a different claim from saying it never does.

Reading the “one bet” column

Of the ten closest matches for each company in an industry — closest by one-year return correlation, measured against the entire market — what share are in the same industry. High means the label describes something real and the companies move as a unit. Low means the SEC groups them and the market does not.

This is the column to read before deciding that owning five companies from one industry is diversification. In the tightest industries it is closer to owning one thing five times.

Why SIC and not a sector scheme

The Standard Industrial Classification is coarse, it was designed in 1937, and it has some genuinely strange corners. It is also the classification the SEC itself puts on filings, it is public, and it is free of anyone's proprietary judgement about what counts as a sector. Every widely used alternative is licensed. Using the official one means the grouping here can be checked against the filing rather than taken on trust.

Company-level detail is on each security page; the rest of the market data is on the Markets overview.